Tuesday, February 22, 2022

Rays of light in a general darkness

 


I won't talk of the global dark times we are cornered into. The main thing to keep in mind is that China is beyond any possible come back to light, that Russia follows short and The West is itself engulfed in a no-return path to hell.

But, and this but is hard to be trusted, but a few events are bent to have us keep some hope although on very different levels.


First, children in some parts of the world remain a beacon of light, as tiny as it is, notably in the Florida school that saw a steep resistance against mask wearing that did have the directors to fold down:

California High School Caves after Students Stage Walkout over Mask Mandate






Then, we have the Convention of States gaining momentum. It was founded in 2013 and since then, I spent thousand of hours on the net researching the alternative medias and it is only a few weeks ago that I stumbled upon that event which is a much needed ray of light !!!

I did write an article about the need tor the USA to give more power to the States against the Federal tyranny before knowing about the COS. That was quite a prescient thought because thanks to Nebraska joining last month, I discovered this most important event.









Then and last for now on, there is a pattern in history that shows that what we are experiencing of the world tyranny's momentum is the last fight of centralized powers before their definitive fall. I truly believe that what you'll read thereafter is a fact and not only a theory !!!


When nations come to need militias to lead their own police to curb civilian's unrest, 

this is the greatest sign of an end of the Empire !!!!

Best !


1. A first article that could be developped with much success ...


Crypto & the Mathematical Cycles of History

BY TYLER DURDEN

SUNDAY, FEB 20, 2022 - 09:45 PM

Authored by Mark Moss via DailyReckoning.com

 

People think that progress is linear, a step-by-step process. In reality, it’s not linear. It’s actually exponential and cyclical. We have cycles that keep repeating within the overall pattern of progress. So even though things are changing, in one important sense, they’re actually staying the same.

There are also stages to the way these cycles work. They’re like a pendulum that swings back and forth. The pendulum swings from centralization to decentralization, then the process repeats.

Cycles also have time periods. That’s pretty interesting because if you’re into technical analysis, you understand everything is mathematical, which is a bit weird. And so we have these cycles within cycles. Roughly speaking, you have 28-year cycles, 84-year cycles and 250-year cycles.

Look at the math. Three times 28 equals an 84-year cycle. Three times 84 equals a 250-year cycle. So the number three is important here. Not to get too technical (pun intended!), but it’s like what you would see in technical analysis with things such as triple bottoms.

 

Let’s start with the 84-year cycle. You might have heard of things like the Fourth Turning, which proposes an 80-year cycle. I like to call these cycles a regime change. I say about 84 years, but it could be 74, or it could be 90 years.

But let’s just say regime change takes place about every 84 years. In the 1930s, we had regime change. What do I mean? In the United States, FDR’s New Deal essentially took America from a capitalist to more of a centralized, socialist-type country.

Roughly 84 years before that Karl Marx wrote The Communist Manifesto, which inspired the 1848 European Spring or the Springtime of the Peoples, which was the largest revolution in European history. So every 84 years we’re seeing a popular uprising, which of course we’re seeing today.

 

Today you have people in the streets protesting mandates. But people around the world were protesting even before the pandemic. You could see it starting back with Brexit, which was a major blow to the globalist establishment. Trump’s election in the United States was also a rejection of the establishment. We’ve also had BLM and Antifa become a force in 2020, with massive unrest in many cities.

And so you see a major swing about every 84 years (again, it could be more, it could be less). Right now, we’re at the end of an 84-year cycle, which was a centralizing cycle. But that’s only part of a larger cycle. As I said earlier, three times 84 equals 252.

And every 250 years, we have a revolution. This is where we are today. About 250 years ago we had the American and French revolutions. In the American case, they were rebelling against British rule. They set up a decentralized government afterward. In the French case they were rebelling against the Old Regime of the crown and the Church.

 


Two hundred fifty years before that was the Protestant Reformation. Leading up to the Protestant Reformation, the Church had amassed all the power. The Church was the only way to get to God. But once the printing press had decentralized information, the people could read the Bible themselves and discovered they didn’t need the Church after all. And the Church lost its power.

When the Church lost its monopoly, we had an explosion of development. We went into the Renaissance age.

And the Renaissance gave birth to science and technology, which then led to the Industrial Revolution. Then the Industrial Revolution, about 250 years later, brought us technology that started to centralize us again. People moved to the cities from the farms. We built giant factories. We built giant cities. Nation-states became heavily centralized.

Now we’re at the end of that 250-year timeframe. We’re entering the cycle where the pendulum is ready to swing away from centralization. We’re at peak centralization, and we’re moving toward decentralization. I don’t believe any of this is random. These cycles of history tell us that the pendulum is beginning to swing back.

 

The key piece to understand is that these revolutions were pushing against centralized establishments and toward decentralization. And they happen every 250 years or so on average. And if you look back through history, every 84 years, we have a revolution or a populist uprising and every 250 years we have a revolution.

Incidentally, no empires really lasted more than 250 years. Some may have technically lasted longer, but their heydays were much less. No democracy has really lasted more than 250 years either. So there’s something to the 250-year cycle.

Technology is a major component of change.  But revolutionary technology is technology that’s disruptive. Technological revolutions build entire new economies and change the way humanity works. Just like the printing press was the technological piece that changed the way the Church had monopoly power over people, today we’re witnessing another technology that’s changing things as well.

 

And just like the Church, no matter how many people they killed, no matter how hard they tried, they couldn’t keep the change from happening. I believe we’re in a situation today where no matter how hard establishments try, they can’t stop decentralizing technology either.

The technology that will decentralize the world is cryptocurrencies. Just like in the Protestant Reformation, we have a new technology that’s decentralizing. What’s interesting is that, at a time when the entire world is at peak centralization and is ready to move toward decentralization, we have a technology that gives us exactly what we need for decentralization.

So now we have cryptocurrencies that are breaking that centralizing grip. And so no matter how much they want to try to maintain that power like the Church did in 1500, the mega politics have shifted. The world is going from a period of centralization, and now the world is decentralizing.

The decentralized revolution is the biggest technological revolution. And technological revolutions drive all financial cycles. So a big overarching investment theme for the years ahead is in the decentralized revolution. That means Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies, etc.

If you look at Bitcoin to measure this, Bitcoin had reached a 10% adoption within a few years, by about 2019. Based on how revolutionary technologies are adopted, we should be at about 90% adoption by 2029.

 

Now, new technologies typically have much faster adoption because they build on top of existing technologies. So for example, the internet was adopted much faster than the telephone because it used telephone lines to gain adoption.

But decentralization is about more than cryptocurrencies. During the centralizing Industrial Revolution, if you wanted to make money, you had to be in the United States. And not just in the United States: You had to be in a city where the jobs were. And because of that centralizing nature, it made it very easy for the governments to squeeze everybody through taxes.

During the pandemic, people found out they could work from home. And so now, people are moving to places like Wyoming, Idaho and Montana where taxes are much lower.

They could never live there before because they couldn’t work there before. They can also move to Mexico or Costa Rica and work from there. I have about 15 people that work for me. Everyone’s decentralized all around the world.

So there’s going to be this great migration. That opens up plays for cash flow and real estate investing, as well as technologies that cater to them. And as people start decentralizing, the government starts losing its ability to squeeze people.

This new cycle will be well underway by the end of this decade. It could potentially be the most profitable decade of your life if you position yourself accordingly

 


2. A second that corroborates the first albeit I really don't understand why the author chose Elon Musk as a comparison to Newton !! 


Intellectual Freedom started with the Elon Musk of the 1600s

BY TDB

TUESDAY, FEB 22, 2022 - 22:17

By Simon Black via Sovereign Man

 

If Isaac Newton were alive today, he would almost certainly have over 100 million Twitter followers.

He was something like the Elon Musk of his day– a bit controversial, incredibly innovative, and always the topic of conversation. People were obsessed with Newton’s every word and action.

When news spread, for example, that Isaac Newton had invested in the famous South Sea Company, investors clamored to buy the stock… simply because Newton was in it. Sort of like Dogecoin.

The South Sea Company eventually collapsed after barely generating a penny in revenue; it still ranks as one of the biggest stock bubbles of all time, and Newton himself lost a fortune.

But the obsession with Newton never stopped. People even paid attention to things that he didn’t say to infer what he might be thinking.

 

In some of his earlier works, for example, Newton did not explicitly profess his faith in either the Catholic religion or the Church of England. Of course he didn’t explicitly state that the didn’t adhere to religious faith either.

But people took the omission as a sign that Newton was an atheist. (He wasn’t.)

Bear in mind that England in the 1600s was a highly puritan society; “atheist” was one of the worst things you could call a human being back then.

Yet with so many people assuming that Newton was an atheist, there was a sudden surge of interest in alternative spirituality. It became cool to question mainstream religious beliefs. And a number of philosophers emerged from this new trend that Newton never intended to create.

 

One of those was Charles Blount, who argued in 1679 that organized religion was not the will of the divine, but the product of human beings seeking wealth and power over others.

He described clergymen as having a “vain opinion of their great knowledge” and that they “pretended to know all things which were done in Heaven and Earth.”

And he considered most stories of the Bible to be contrived works of men that were “irrational and repugnant”.

Primarily Blount was merely arguing for intellectual independence. He didn’t care what people believed, so long as they reached their own conclusions.

 

Blount himself was deeply spiritual. Yet he was instantly branded an atheist.

Blount pushed back. He argued that ‘atheist’ was just a word used to defame someone with different ideas.

He compared ‘atheist’ to how ancient Romans used the term ‘barbarian’ to describe Germanic tribes as feral savages, even though many of the barbarian kingdoms were extremely cultured and civilized.

But Blount was effectively canceled. His books were censored, and he was financially and socially ruined. He died by suicide in 1693.

 

Another writer named John Toland took on the fight for intellectual independence, and published his first book in 1696, three years after Blount’s death.

Toland argued that human beings should not have blind faith in anything without first engaging in discussion, exploration, and intellectual discourse.

Obviously this infuriated the authorities; Toland was immediately labeled an atheist, and his books were condemned.

In Dublin, the Irish parliament went so far as to hold a public burning of Toland’s works on the steps of the capital on September 18, 1697.

Several governments ordered Toland’s arrest. His ideas were simply too dangerous, and they couldn’t have an evil atheist on the loose.

Toland managed to escape to Hanover and remained in the protective care of the much more enlightened Queen of Prussia.

 

This is still the case today; if one society has totally lost its mind, there’s most likely another one where you can feel safe, free, and unconstrained. Hanover was Toland’s Plan B.

Toland continued his work while in Hanover, secure from all the crazies who wished him harm. He became a staunch advocate for freedom of thought, later writing:

“Let all men freely speak what they think, without being ever branded or punished. . . [only] then you are sure to hear the whole truth.”

It’s notable that Toland is the first person to coin the term “free thinker”, and he lived during an era when being one was a terrible crime.

While in Hanover, Toland was subjected to endless scorn from “experts” back in England; more than FIFTY books were written criticizing his work and demeaning his character as an evil atheist.

Obviously Toland wasn’t an atheist either. Like Charles Blount before him, he simply had a different viewpoint and believed wholeheartedly in everyone’s right to intellectual freedom.

But that was more than enough for the ‘experts’ to censor him.

 

Another major development during this era was the authorities’ attempts to control information.

At this point in history, the printing press was having an extraordinary impact on social development; new ideas could be published and widely circulated at a speed that had never been imaginable.

Many politicians and religious leaders wanted to restrict this technology in order to prevent the spread of misinformation.

The Archdeacon of Canterbury complained in the late 1600s, for example, that the printing press was making it too easy for the “ignorant and unlearned… plebeians and mechanics… to demonstrate out of The Leviathan that there is no God.”

They didn’t like the ideas that were spreading… so their solution was to control the spread.

Now, if what I’ve written above sounds vaguely similar to our modern world, here’s the good news:

 

Freedom prevailed. Cancel culture lost.

It took time. But eventually the critics and the censors and ‘experts’ (who were always wrong about everything) faded into obscurity, paving the way for the Age of Enlightenment in which scientific achievement and freedom of thought flourished like never before.

This is true about all forms of totalitarianism, whether you’re talking about the Soviet Union or extreme ideological intolerance. They always fail. Freedom wins.

But it’s a bumpy road to get there… which is why it’s always worth having a Plan B.

 

PS: Alternative residency or citizenship generally forms the backbone of any robust Plan B. But there are WAY more things to consider. That’s why we created our 31-page Ultimate Plan B report to help you get to grips with this topic, and you can download the full, unabridged report here - 100% FREE.

Inside you’ll discover...

No-Brainer Strategies to Ensure You Thrive

No Matter What Happens Next.

 


3. A third fully in sync !!!


We Have Begun a Great Transition

BY TYLER DURDEN

MONDAY, FEB 28, 2022

By Eric Peters, CIO of One River Asset Management

 

Red Buttons: Russia has 6,255 nuclear weapons, followed by the US with 5,500. China has 350, France 290, the UK 225. Pakistan has 165 warheads to defend itself from India, with 156. Israel is estimated to have 90 nukes. North Korea is believed to have enough fuel to build 40-50 nukes. Iran is headed there too. We detonated Little Boy over Hiroshima in 1945 and killed 150,000. It had the force of 15,000 tons of TNT. The average nuke today contains the force of 100,000 tons. Many are far larger. One such weapon dropped on New York City would kill an untold number.

 

Fat Fingers: Vladimir Putin controls Russia’s arsenal. Biden is America’s commander-in-chief. Xi Jinping rules over China, potentially for life. There’s Macron of course. Boris Johnson too. Imran Khan is Pakistan’s Prime Minister, although Arif Alvi is its President and commander-in-chief. Modi is India’s Prime Minister and regularly engages in petty skirmishes with two nuclear-armed neighbors. Naftali Bennett is Israel’s PM. Kim Jong-un leads North Korea with ten stubby fingers. And who could forget Ali Khamenei, Supreme Leader of Iran for life.

 

Lonely: One thing uniting humanity is the belief that the majority of earth’s 14,000 nuclear weapons are controlled by men who are mentally unstable and unfit to wield such awesome power. Some of us believe 100% of these weapons are controlled by such people. Barely a person on the planet would choose a nuclear war, yet we created a system that empowers others to do just that, on a moment’s notice. An alien would likely observe that such a concentration of power is a gross failure of any species. Perhaps it’s a stage of development that few, if any, advance beyond. Maybe that’s why we have not been visited.

 

Inevitable: Absolute power corrupts absolutely. But not all power is absolute. So we observe gradations of corruption, usually corresponding to the degree to which power is concentrated. The Catholic Church is reluctantly confronting its decades of unforgivable sin, buried beneath bureaucracy. Whole industries have done the same. Big tobacco. The Sackler’s Purdue Pharma opioid epidemic. And corruption is contagious. So those nations that fight against it and honor the rule of law outperform others. But even in such societies, the battle is never won. We have come to accept that there is no better system. But nothing in human affairs is inevitable.

 

Impermanence: Money is central to all modern human activity, yet it is an illusion. Central banks operate with governments to distort its value at will. The concentration of their power is as breathtaking as it is difficult for the citizenry to comprehend. While it is generally wielded with the best intentions, the impact on us all are profound. Since Lehman failed, global central banks have purchased $23.3trln of financial assets, lifting to new highs the fortunes of those who already had wealth, so that US private sector financial assets are now 6.3x GDP (up from 2.8x in the early 1980s). Such a societal choice was never put to a vote. And this system, like all systems we have created, is surely impermanent.

 

Anecdote: “The world as we have created it is a process of our thinking — it cannot be changed without changing our thinking,” wrote Einstein. Like much of his work, it contains many layers. And as with all things profound, the observation is timeless. Einstein helps us understand how we can have such deeply divided nations. They are in fact different realities, created by their respective inhabitants, as vivid to one group as the other. Only by opening our minds and changing our thinking can we connect the two.

But Einstein also challenges us to examine our collective beliefs. One assumed truism is that the world must operate with centralized power structures. Tribes, kingdoms, empires, nation-states; we experimented with them all. And armies, religions, universities, corporations, financial exchanges, central banks. Atop each sits a King or Queen, President or Pope, choose your title, the function holds. Naturally, we have various methods of selecting leaders, and ways to empower or restrain them.

 

We’ve also explored a variety of structures to distribute economic output. Feudalism, capitalism, socialism, communism. Some believe passionately in one or the other, but we all accept the broad structure because we assume the world cannot operate at scale without a central authority, a clearinghouse to mediate our disputes, set our standards, define domestic laws, international too. And enforce them. It is hard to imagine a world without centralized authority.

But for the first time in human history, a new technology allows us to build decentralized accounting systems we can all trust. This is a stunning breakthrough upon which entirely new governance systems can be built. Bitcoin was the pioneer. Its success has spawned countless new applications, some more decentralized than others. The innovation has barely just begun and now attracts the brightest young minds across the world, allowing them to think about new, more inclusive ways to organize. Venture capital has followed. Speculators. The frenzy itself is breath taking.

And when we look back, 100-years hence, we will surely see this as the period when we began a great transition, even if today, we cannot yet quite imagine the world we will have created.


related:

Trampling The Truckers – The Great Reset Becomes the Great Awakening






No comments:

Post a Comment